Clavin's Rule:

Clavin's Rule

n. a wagering "rule of thumb" that suggests a player not put a lock game at risk with an excessive wager, however tempting the category.

Saturday, June 6, 2015

TOC update: 6th June

    With the induction of Dan Feitel on Tournament of Champion, let’s review the leader board.
Rank
Player Name
# of Win
Earning
Buzz
Precision
TOC Win %
T T
Jennifer Giles
4
$  100.000
0,46
0,9
6,88%
1
Grek Seroka
7
$  180.401
0,48
0,91
6,69%
2
Alex Jacob
6
$  149.802
0,53
0,92
6,70%
3
Kerry Greene
6
$  146.598
0,38
0,91
6,77%
4
Dan Feitel
5
$  127.998
0,48
0,92
6,47%
5
John Schultz
5
$  104.500
0,43
0,87
6,86%
6
Vaughn Winchell
5
$  103.103
0,43
0,92
6,73%
7
Andrew Haringer
5
$    96.559
0,42
0,85
6,50%
8
Kristin Sausville
5
$    94.201
0,53
0,9
6,81%
9
Elliot Yates
4
$    65.000
0,51
0,74
6,61%
10
Michael Bilow
3
$    96.000
0,47
0,88
6,82%
11
Scott Ylinen
3
$    62.705
0,41
0,91
6,38%
12
Alexander Persaud
3
$    61.000
0,43
0,9
6,70%
13
Ryan Alley
3
$    56.800
0,48
0,85
6,45%
14
Choyon Manjrekar
3
$    56.700
0,45
0,84
6,93%
AVERAGE
4,46667
$  100.091
0,46
0,88

    8 players are at green zone (they're either won at least 5 games or won special tournament). 3 players are below the average: John Schultz, Andrew Haringer, Choyon Manjrekar. Good for John and Andrew, they pocketed 5 wins, so they’re auto. Bad for Choyon, he’s going to be kicked out, at least by winner of college tournament.

    In the simulation, you’ll see that the percentages are ‘even’. It suggests that this will be tight match. Who wins, only God knows? Before someone asks how I did the simulation, here’s what I did:

    We know that unlike normal series, they don’t assign people randomly like drawing paper, right? So our computer on each qualifying game, the match consists of 1 top-seed player, 1 middle-seed player, and 1 low-seed player. We put the number of simulation to 100,000.

    Hmm, I’m confident that program doesn't have bug, but I may need to change the algorithm.


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