I’d
like to give spoiler. This one is a very tight match.
ENTER
PLAYER INTRODUCTION!
- · Tom Landvatter, a professor from Valparaiso, Indiana
- · Kevin Ruby, a technical writer from San Diego, California
- · Brennan Bushee, an operations analyst from Malden, Massachusetts (whose 2-days cash winnings total $57,202)
Given the fact Brennan win rate is $ 27,500
every episode, if Brennan wins this one, Brennan is definitely going to be in
the TOC leader board. Whether Brennan will stay until the period is over is
another question.
Jeopardy! round review:
|
GRISHAM, CRICHTON OR CLANCY
|
GOVERNMENT
AGENCIES
|
FOOTBALL
HEROES
|
|
THE 11th CENTURY
|
TOO MUCH INFORMATION
|
“TMI”
|
Unlike
previous episode where how they pick the clue is literally the chaos theory
itself, this time how they pick the category is more –well – gentle.
We have
an interesting Daily Double! A late Daily Double with big lead, a huge one.
|
Brennan
Bushee
|
Kevin
Ruby
|
Tom
Landvatter
|
|
$5,800
|
$1,600
|
$2,000
|
After
this Daily Double, the only remaining category is “TOO MUCH INFORMATION”. $
3,000 left on the table. Brennan wagered $ 3,000 , big, but not big enough by
this blog’s standard. Remember that in Jeopardy! round, the blog promotes ‘$5
or True Daily Double’ attitude in Jeopardy! Round. If you get it wrong, well you can still rebuild
your bank on Double Jeopardy! If you get it right, you can guarantee your win
early.
Clue: The address atf.gov would be atfe.gov if it accounted for this word
found in the full name of the bureau
Raf:
What is explosive?
That’s
a correct answer.
Jeopardy!
round result:
|
Brennan
Bushee
|
Kevin
Ruby
|
Tom
Landvatter
|
|
$8,200
|
$1,600
|
$1,600
|
Maybe
not so tight.
|
INTO DOUBLE JEOPARDY!
|
||||
|
Buzz Rate
|
0,44
|
0,27
|
0,28
|
|
|
Precision Rate
|
0,93
|
0,83
|
1
|
|
|
Brennan
|
Kevin
|
Tom
|
||
|
Jeopardy!
|
$ 8.200
|
$ 1.600
|
$ 1.600
|
|
|
Predicted DJ!
|
$ 13.582
|
$ 10.521
|
$ 11.124
|
|
|
Predicted Total
|
$ 21.782
|
$ 12.121
|
$ 12.724
|
|
|
Probability Win
|
74,29%
|
11,97%
|
13,73%
|
|
|
Tom proj. score is 58% of
Brennan's proj. score Probability doesn't sum to 100% up due to rounding
|
||||
Double
Jeopardy! round review:
RELEASE
THE BEAST
|
PUZZLERS
|
POP MUSIC ROYALTY
|
PULL INTO THE “BURG”
|
|
HISTORIANS
|
PODCASTS
|
BETTER CALL SAUL
|
We
started the game with “BETTER CALL SAUL” then the game continues for another 10
clues. Tom found the first Daily Double behind “PULLING INTO THE ‘BURG’” $
1,600 clues.
.
|
Brennan
Bushee
|
Kevin
Ruby
|
Tom
Landvatter
|
|
$11,800
|
$6,000
|
$3,600
|
He
decided to make it True Daily Double. Is it a Clavin Daily Double? Overkill?
Check out this table.
|
INTO FIRST DAILY DOUBLE
|
||||
|
Buzz Rate
|
0,44
|
0,27
|
0,28
|
|
|
Precision Rate
|
0,9
|
0,88
|
1
|
|
|
Brennan
|
Kevin
|
Tom
|
||
|
Current Score
|
$ 11.800
|
$ 6.000
|
$ 3.600
|
|
|
Predicted Remaining
|
$ 9.122
|
$ 7.267
|
$ 7.560
|
|
|
Predicted Total
|
$ 20.922
|
$ 13.267
|
$ 11.160
|
|
|
Probability Win
|
81,18%
|
12,15%
|
6,65%
|
|
|
Kevin proj. score is 65%
of Brennan's proj. score Probability doesn't sum to 100% up due to rounding
|
||||
The
‘rule of thumb’ is when you’re third place. is that you should not wager in a way
that makes your score below the elimination point at the end of Double
Jeopardy! (Please check our explanation on what is elimination point.) We
predicted Brennan final score is $ 20,900 and Kevin will be at $ 13,300. That’s
$ 7,600. If Tom wagered everything and get it wrong, he will drop below the
elimination point ($ 7,550). The correct attitude is to wager everything but $
50. We will not throw the ‘Clavin’ flag here because $ 3,550 wager and $ 3,600
wager is close enough, but we’d like to tell you that going True Daily Double
is wrong, he should go down a little bit.
Clue: A city in Pinellas County, Florida, or one about 7 degrees south of
the Arctic Circle
Tom:
What is St. Petersburg?
He got
it right and doubled his money.
It only
took two clue to find another Daily Double. This time, Brennan Bushee got it
behind “BETTER CALL SAUL” for $ 1,200
|
Brennan
Bushee
|
Kevin
Ruby
|
Tom
Landvatter
|
|
$12,600
|
$8,000
|
$7,200
|
This
time, Brennan wager $ 3,000. Last game, Brennan made a correct aggressive
wager. Let gives it a review.
|
INTO SECOND DAILY DOUBLE
|
||||
|
Buzz Rate
|
0,44
|
0,29
|
0,26
|
|
|
Precision Rate
|
0,9
|
0,9
|
1
|
|
|
Brennan
|
Kevin
|
Tom
|
||
|
Current Score
|
$ 12.600
|
$ 8.000
|
$ 7.200
|
|
|
Predicted Remaining
|
$ 8.098
|
$ 6.638
|
$ 6.505
|
|
|
Predicted Total
|
$ 20.698
|
$ 14.638
|
$ 13.705
|
|
|
Probability Win
|
73,87%
|
14,76%
|
11,35%
|
|
|
Kevin proj. score is 70%
of Brennan's proj. score Probability doesn't sum to 100% up due to rounding
|
||||
Brennan
was already above Kevin’s score. When you’re first place, the rule of thumb is
‘never risk your first place’. Kevin’s score we projected will be $ 14,600, so
lock point will be around $ 29,200. Brennan will have to wager around $ 9,000,
but that’s Clavin. Brennan can try to mathematically eliminate Tom with $ 7,000
wager, but that still risk the first place. So Brennan maximum wager is around
$ 6,000, but $ 3,000 wager is still acceptable.
Clue: Avoid the topic of these foes now associated with the
unenlightened; his long struggle with them didn't end well for him
Brennan:
What is The Philistines?
|
AFTER SECOND DAILY
DOUBLE
|
||||
|
Buzz Rate
|
0,45
|
0,14
|
0,33
|
|
|
Precision Rate
|
0,94
|
1
|
0,88
|
|
|
Brennan
|
Kevin
|
Tom
|
||
|
Current Score
|
$ 15.600
|
$ 8.000
|
$ 7.200
|
|
|
Predicted Remaining
|
$ 8.098
|
$ 6.638
|
$ 6.505
|
|
|
Predicted Total
|
$ 23.698
|
$ 14.638
|
$13.705
|
|
|
Probability Win
|
92,25%
|
4,09%
|
3,65%
|
|
|
Kevin proj. score is 61%
of Chris's proj. score Probability doesn't sum to 100% up due to rounding
|
||||
Normally,
I would skip directly to Final Jeopardy! But I want you to watch the end game.
We had
3 clues left. PODCAST for $ 1,200, $ 1,600 and $ 2,000
|
Brennan
Bushee
|
Kevin
Ruby
|
Tom
Landvatter
|
|
$26,000
|
$8,000
|
$11,600
|
Lock
point is at $ 23,200. Brennan is currently at ‘lock’ situation.
Brennan:
PODCAST for $ 1,200
Clue: "How Did This Get Made?" wondered how the films
"Leprechaun in the Hood", "Gigli" & this "2:
Cruise Control" got made
Tom:
What is Speed?
Alex:
Right.
Tom: $
1,600.
Clue: In 2015 Adnan Syed, subject
of this podcast, was granted an appeal of his conviction of murdering an
ex-girlfriend
Tom:
What is Serial?
Alex:
Right.
Watch
the score. It’s very exciting.
|
Brennan
Bushee
|
Kevin
Ruby
|
Tom
Landvatter
|
|
$26,000
|
$8,000
|
$13,200
|
Suddenly Brennan is not at
runaway. The last clue is for $ 2,000. If Tom gets it correct or Brennan gets
it wrong, it’s not a runaway. If Tom gets it wrong and Brennan gets it right,
its lock game.
Tom: $ 2,000
Clue: Karl Pilkington debated the phrase
"a stitch in time saves nine" to the amusement of Stephen merchant
& this British comic
Brennan: What is Ricky Gervais?
Double
Jeopardy! round review:
|
Brennan
Bushee
|
Kevin
Ruby
|
Tom
Landvatter
|
|
$28,000
|
$8,000
|
$13,200
|
Final
Jeopardy! Review:
|
THE OSCARS
|
Duh.
|
THE OSCARS
|
|
In her 30s, this Texan was up
for Best Actress in 2002 & 2003; she won Best Supporting in 2004 in a
Civil War drama
|
|
Brennan
Bushee
|
Kevin
Ruby
|
Tom
Landvatter
|
|
$28,000
|
$8,000
|
$13,200
|
|
Who is Reneé Zellweger?
|
Who is Renee Zellweger
|
Who Zellweger?
|
|
$0
|
$7,999
|
$13,200
|
|
$28,000
|
$15,999
|
$26,400
|
