Clavin's Rule:

Clavin's Rule

n. a wagering "rule of thumb" that suggests a player not put a lock game at risk with an excessive wager, however tempting the category.

Sunday, June 7, 2015

Game Review: Thursday, June 4, 2015: Jenny Orr v Addison Godel v Jami Griffeth

Game Review: Thursday, June 4, 2015: Jenny Orr v Addison Godel v Jami Griffeth


Thursday, June 4, 2015
                I don’t know if this is just me or that there is an increase on number of PhD, competing on this show. 2 of our TOC (I think) are PhD.

                Enter player introduction!

  • ·         Jenny Orr, an attorney from Cleveland, Ohio
  • ·         Addison Godel, a Ph.D. student in architectural history from Brooklyn, New York
  • ·         Jami Griffeth, a character trainer originally from Lindenhurst, Illinois (whose 1-day cash winnings total $11,000)

Jeopardy! round review:
HOW TO DRAIN YOUR FLAGON
WRITERS FIRST NAME’S THE SAME
“ICE” PACK
SOURCE OF THE LATE NIGHT BIT
FUN WITH COLORS
THE SOUTH PACIFIC

                In case you’re wondering, ‘HOW TO DRAIN YOUR FLAGON”, was written on a game of beer-pong. By drunk man, exactly.

                The game starts as our returning champion picked “WRITERS FIRST N AME’S THE SAME”, continued by “ICE PACK”, “HOW TO DRAIN YOUR FLAGON”, “FUN WITH COLORS” (I’m disappointed, no Forrest Bounce in play.)  After Jenny finished “FUN WITH COLORS”, we moved to “THE SOUTH PACIFIC”. Addison found the Daily Double underneath the $ 1,000 clue.

Jenny
Orr
Addison
Godel
Jami
Griffeth
$2,200
$3,800
$4,400

                She wagered $ 2,000. I’m having hard time reasoning why she played $ 2,000 only. For your information, out of four clues of “THE SOUTH PACIFIC”, she answered two clues
.
Clue: These stone statues seen throughout the islands may represent deified ancestors in Tahitian mythology & are often placed outside of temples as protection

                Addison: [Exhales] Um… what are idols?
                Alex       : No, what are tikis.
                Addison:  Oh!

Jeopardy! Result:
Jenny
Orr
Addison
Godel
Jami
Griffeth
$2,200
$4,000
$5,200


INTO DOUBLE JEOPARDY!
Buzz Rate
0,29
0,4
0,4
Precision Rate
0,9
0,9
0,9
Jami
Addison
Gobel
Jeopardy!
$   2.200
$  4.000
$  5.200
Predicted DJ!
$ 10.621
$  12.278
$  12.292
Predicted Total
$  12.821
$ 16.278
$  17.492
Probability Win
18,14%
35,91%
45,93%
Addison proj. score is 93% of Gobel's proj. score Probability doesn't sum to 100% up due to rounding



                We’re looking for a possible tight game, but last time I said they keyword ‘tight’, one player went into red. =/
Double Jeopardy! Round review:
                RELEASE THE CHIHUAHUA!
SAME FIRST & LAST LETTER
MYTH
IN SO MANY WORDS
LET’S DUKE IT OUT
A FIFTH OF (COLIN) FIRTH
GEOGRAPH-“E”

                They are three academic categories. I’m not a fan of this board.

                We started off with “GEOGRAPH-‘E’” and then continued with “MYTH”. Addison found the first daily double at “MYTH” for $ 1,200. She wagered $ 4,000. Big number.

Jenny
Orr
Addison
Godel
Jami
Griffeth
$2,200
$9,200
$6,000

INTO FIRST DAILY DOUBLE
Buzz Rate
0,24
0,48
0,36
Precision Rate
0,9
0,93
0,91

Jami
Addison
Gobel
Score
 $    2.200
 $    9.200
 $    6.000
Predicted remaining
 $    7.594
 $  10.461
 $    9.042
Predicted Total
 $    9.794
 $  19.661
 $  15.042
Probability Win
5,79%
68,46%
25,74%
Randy's proj. score is 76% of Dan's proj. score Probability doesn't sum to 100% up due to rounding

                We predicted that Addison’s score will be around $ 19,600. Gobel’s score will be $ 15,000. That’s $ 4,600 difference, so $ 4,000 is an appropriate wager, given the fact that she didn’t have a computer to help her.

Clue: This Egyptian god's evil brother Set tricked him into lying down in a box that was thrown into the river
                Addison: Who is Osiris?
                Alex       : Don't you love it when you're able to drag some important bit of information out of thin air?

AFTER FIRST DAILY DOUBLE
Buzz Rate
0,24
0,48
0,36
Precision Rate
0,9
0,93
0,91
Jami
Addison
Gobel
Score
$  2.200
$    13.200
$       6.000
Predicted remaining
$  7.594
$    10.461
$       9.042
Predicted Total
$  9.794
$    23.661
$     15.042
Probability Win
2,11%
85,63%
12,23%
Randy's proj. score is 63% of Dan's proj. score Probability doesn't sum to 100% up due to rounding

                After we finished the “MYTH” and moved to “SAME FIRST & LAST LETTER” then “LET’S DUKE IT OUT”, and Addison found the last Daily Double at $ 1,600 clue. She wagered $ 4,000. Another big one.

Jenny
Orr
Addison
Godel
Jami
Griffeth
$600
$22,400
$4,000

INTO SECOND DAILY DOUBLE
Buzz Rate
0,24
0,48
0,36
Precision Rate
0,9
0,93
0,91

Jami
Addison
Gobel
Score
 $        600
 $  22.400
 $    4.000
Predicted remaining
 $    4.285
 $    5.920
 $    5.107
Predicted Total
 $    4.885
 $  28.320
 $    9.107
Probability Win
0,00%
100,00%
0,00%
Randy's projected score is 32% of Dan's projected score

                Addison was well above the lock point, so $ 4,000 won’t hurt.

Clue: The Duke of Northumberland (1504-1553) arranged for his son to marry this unfortunate lady in 1553; oops
                Addison: Who Is Bloody Mary?
                Alex       : No. Who is Lady Jane Grey? Lady Jane Grey.

AFTER SECOND DAILY DOUBLE
Buzz Rate
0,24
0,48
0,36
Precision Rate
0,9
0,93
0,91

Jami
Addison
Gobel
Score
$  600
 $ 18.400
  $ 4.000
Predicted remaining
 $ 4.285
 $   5.920
 $  5.107
Predicted Total
 $ 4.885
 $  24.320
 $  9.107
Probability Win
0,00%
99,95%
0,04%
Randy's proj. score is 34% of Dan's proj. score Probability doesn't sum to 100% up due to rounding

Double Jeopardy! Round result:
Jenny
Orr
Addison
Godel
Jami
Griffeth
$4,200
$20,400
$6,400




I really hope Addison wager a lot of money, $ 7,000 maybe?

Final Jeopardy! Round review:
NOTORIOUS 20th CENTURY NAME

As an Indonesian, I will have no chance answering this, unless it’s about JFK assassination.

NOTORIOUS 20th CENTURY NAME
Mort, a co-defendant with these 2, was also convicted but received a lighter sentence: 30 years in prison


Jenny
Orr
Addison
Godel
Jami
Griffeth
$4,200
$20,400
$6,400
Who are Sacco & Vanzetti
Who are the Rosenbergs?
Who are Sacco + Vanzetti?
$3,200
$4,000
$4,399
$1,000
$24,400
$4,399

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