We have some interesting contestant name today.
ENTER
PLAYER INTRODUCTION!
- · Batya Diamond, a teacher and songwriter from Wilton, Connecticut
- · Raf Noboa y Rivera, a sportswriter from Astoria, New York
- · Brennan Bushee, an operations analyst from Malden, Massachusetts (whose 1-day cash winnings total $27,201)
Jeopardy! round review:
|
WHAT WOMEN IN FILM WANT
|
CONSTELLATIONS
|
THE COUNTRY’S MAJORITY RELIGION
|
|
ENDS IN “O”
|
FOOD STUFF
|
A LITTLE DAD’LL DO YA
|
For
this episode, I can assure you that how the players pick the clues on the board
is a product of chaos theory. According to chaos theory, how will a situation
will resolve will based on the initial position. The game started with the
religion clue, so I’m pretty sure that’s why this episode is a chaos, a divine
intervention.
Late
into the game (after 14 clues of that were randomly picked,) Raf found the
first Daily Double behind “CONSTELLATIONS” for $ 600.
|
Brennan
Bushee
|
Raf
Noboa Y Rivera
|
Batya
Diamond
|
|
$1,800
|
$1,600
|
$2,400
|
She
wagered $ 600. Not really a great wager. Why? Well it’s a cliff hanger wager.
Why only $ 600? Why don’t all the way to $ 801 if you’re not confident but want
to take the lead. This blog always promotes the ‘binary $5 or True Daily Double’
attitude on Jeopardy! Round, so a $ 600 is a bad one.
Clue: This constellation's second-brightest star, Shaula, is also known
as "the Stinger
Raf:
What is Scorpio?
Correct
answer gave him second place.
Jeopardy!
round result:
|
Brennan
Bushee
|
Raf
Noboa Y Rivera
|
Batya
Diamond
|
|
$4,400
|
$5,000
|
$5,000
|
This in
a very exciting match, you should take a look at the chart.
|
Buzz Rate
|
0,44
|
0,38
|
0,42
|
|
|
Precision Rate
|
0,93
|
0,9
|
0,81
|
|
|
Brennan
|
Raf
|
Batya
|
||
|
Jeopardy!
|
$ 4.400
|
$ 5.000
|
$ 5.000
|
|
|
Predicted DJ!
|
$ 14.150
|
$ 9.293
|
$ 12.008
|
|
|
Predicted Total
|
$ 18.550
|
$ 14.293
|
$ 17.008
|
|
|
Probability Win
|
45,59%
|
20,11%
|
34,29%
|
|
|
Batya proj. score is 91%
of Brennan's proj. score Probability doesn't sum to 100% up due to rounding
|
||||
Despite
not in the lead, we believe that Brennan will win the episode (or at least,
with the lead at the end of Double Jeopardy!). The reason is because Brennan is
superior to both Raf and Batya when it comes to Buzz Rate and Precision Rate.
Double
Jeopardy! round review:
RELEASE
THE BEAST!
|
BRITISH HISTORY
|
PLANTS
|
BROADWAY MUSICAL BY SONGS
|
|
WORLD LIT
|
DOUBLE DOUBLE LETTERS
|
“THE” LAND IS THE LAND
|
We
started the round with “BROADWAY MUSICAL BY SONGS”. Unlike previous time, we
actually managed to clean it before moving to another category. The category is
owned by Brennan and Batya. Poor Raf.
We then
moved to British history. Raf found the first Daily Double behind the $ 1,600
clue.
|
Brennan
Bushee
|
Raf
Noboa Y Rivera
|
Batya
Diamond
|
|
$8,400
|
$9,400
|
$5,400
|
Raf
wagered $ 2,000.
|
INTO FIRST DAILY DOUBLE
|
||||
|
Buzz Rate
|
0,43
|
0,36
|
0,44
|
|
|
Precision Rate
|
0,94
|
0,92
|
0,81
|
|
|
Brennan
|
Raf
|
Batya
|
||
|
Current Score
|
$ 8.200
|
$ 9.400
|
$ 5.400
|
|
|
Predicted Remaining
|
$ 7.940
|
$ 7.267
|
$ 7.679
|
|
|
Predicted Total
|
$ 16.140
|
$16.667
|
$13.079
|
|
|
Probability Win
|
40,02%
|
42,70%
|
17,26%
|
|
|
Raf proj. score is 96% of
Brennan's proj. score Probability doesn't sum to 100% up due to rounding
|
||||
We’d
like to throw the ‘Clavin’ flag here. Overbid. $ 500 seems like good call here.
But we can’t really scold him for the $ 2,000 wager.
Clue: Capturing Jamaica in 1655 allowed the English to replace the beer
on ships with this, which didn't go bad
Craig: What
is rum?
The correct
answer gave her the $ 11,400 lead.
|
AFTER FIRST DAILY DOUBLE
|
||||
|
Buzz Rate
|
0,43
|
0,36
|
0,44
|
|
|
Precision Rate
|
0,94
|
0,92
|
0,81
|
|
|
Brennan
|
Raf
|
Batya
|
||
|
Current Score
|
$ 8.200
|
$11.400
|
$ 5.400
|
|
|
Predicted Remaining
|
$ 7.940
|
$ 7.267
|
$ 7.679
|
|
|
Predicted Total
|
$ 16.140
|
$18.667
|
$13.079
|
|
|
Probability Win
|
31,35%
|
55,48%
|
13,16%
|
|
|
Chris proj. score is 86%
of Sally's proj. score Probability doesn't sum to 100% up due to rounding
|
||||
We
moved on to continue the game. There was a tug-of-war between Brennan and Raf
before Brennan found the second Daily Double behind “‘THE LAND” IS THE LAND”
for $ 1,200.
|
Brennan
Bushee
|
Raf
Noboa Y Rivera
|
Batya
Diamond
|
|
$11,600
|
$12,200
|
$5,400
|
She
wagered $ 5,000. Clavin? No. A genius wager.
|
INTO SECOND DAILY DOUBLE
|
||||
|
Buzz Rate
|
0,45
|
0,14
|
0,33
|
|
|
Precision Rate
|
0,94
|
1
|
0,88
|
|
|
Brennan
|
Raf
|
Batya
|
||
|
Current Score
|
$ 11.600
|
$12.200
|
$ 5.400
|
|
|
Predicted Remaining
|
$ 6.169
|
$ 5.685
|
$ 5.990
|
|
|
Predicted Total
|
$ 17.769
|
$17.885
|
$11.390
|
|
|
Probability Win
|
47,13%
|
47,31%
|
5,54%
|
|
|
Sally proj. score is 63%
of Chris's proj. score Probability doesn't sum to 100% up due to rounding
|
||||
Batya
had a projected score of $ 11,400, that’s what we predicted. We also predicted
that Brennan will be around $ 17,700.That’s $ 6,000 difference. Remember that
we always advocate “$5 or the maximum wager,” here. $ 5,000 is close enough to
$ 6,000. So it was a brilliant wager.
Sometimes
it’s the irony of first place and second place. First place can’t wager a lot
but second place can. First place can’t profit with the Daily Double (except if
you’re Roger Craig) but second place can use Daily Double like a maniac.
It’s
like making an ‘all-in’ call at a game of Poker. Easy when you’re last place,
hard when you’re the big stack.
And
yes, she was rewarded.
Clue: Reflecting its precious resources, it was
the colonial name for what is now Ghana
Brennan: What is the Gold Coast?
Double
Jeopardy! round review:
|
Brennan
Bushee
|
Raf
Noboa Y Rivera
|
Batya
Diamond
|
|
$21,800
|
$15,000
|
$5,800
|
Interesting,
this is the first time the predict-o-meter actually under shoot the number, 2
out of 3.
Final
Jeopardy! Review:
|
QUOTABLE PAINTER
|
Is it
just me or they rarely used science when it comes to Final Jeopardy!?
|
QUOTABLE PAINTER
|
|
"A reviewer... wrote that my pictures
didn't have any beginning or any end. He didn't mean it as a a compliment,
but it was"
|
I
really need to learn my trivia. Good thing I’m still 16 years old.
|
Brennan
Bushee
|
Raf
Noboa Y Rivera
|
Batya
Diamond
|
|
$21,800
|
$15,000
|
$5,800
|
|
Who is Jackson Pollock?
|
Who is
|
Who is Dali?
|
|
$2,400
|
$7,500
|
$2,400
|
|
$24,200
|
$22,500
|
$3,400
|
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